2018: A Black and White World

Donald Trump believes it’s a good idea to let criminals out of jail/prison and it’s essentially illegal to talk about racial crime rates in America, but I thought I’d take some time to parse the 2018 FBI crime statistics by Metropolitan Area. As jaded and bored of crime statistics as we might become, these numbers are still TrueFacts™ and it’s important we shove them in the face of the uninitiated every chance we get.

In case the Reader is new: African-Americans commit crimes, particularly violent ones, at a disproportionately high rate when compared to whites, Asians, and Hispanics. It usually goes blacks > Hispanics > whites > East Asians. The following article is a comparison of the top 15 whitest and blackest cities in America to provide more evidence for this thesis. My workbook is here.

Black Cities

My table of the 15 blackest cities in the United States.[1] It contains the number and rate of violent crime[2], murder and nonnegligent manslaughter[3], and rape[4] — with the averages bolded in the middle.

City % Black Population Violent Crime Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter Rape VC Rate Murder Rate Rape Rate
Detroit, MI 82.7 671,275 13478 261 988 2007.82 38.88 147.18
Albany, GA 71.6 72,594 809 15 28 1114.42 20.66 38.57
Baltimore, MD 63.7 605,436 11100 309 361 1833.39 51.04 59.63
Memphis, TN 63.3 652,226 12674 186 491 1943.19 28.52 75.28
New Orleans, LA 60.2 396,374 4611 147 681 1163.3 37.09 171.81
Montgomery, AL 60 198662 1216 29 39 612.09 14.6 19.63
Average 58.8 321853 4508 107 270 1278.3 31.4 78.1
Baton Rouge, LA 58.5 224,790 2067 79 74 919.52 35.14 32.92
Wilmington, DE 58 71,157 1099 23 14 1544.47 32.32 19.67
Flint, MI 56.6 95,677 1739 32 130 1817.57 33.45 135.87
Shreveport, LA 54.7 190808 1588 49 123 832.25 25.68 64.46
Portsmouth, VA 52.6 94218 749 20 44 794.96 21.23 46.7
Atlanta, GA 52.3 496106 3814 88 245 768.79 17.74 49.38
Harrisburg, PA 51.9 49147 531 15 72 1080.43 30.52 146.5
Washington D.C. 47.7 702455 6613 160 445 941.41 22.78 63.35
St. Louis, MO 47.6 306,875 5,525 187 309 1800.41 60.94 100.69

I understand that this is ugly. I just need to post all of the data for proof, and the summary data will be in the comparison section below.

White Cities

My table for the 15 whitest cities in the United States.[5] It contains the number and rate of violent crime, murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, and rape — with the averages bolded in the middle.

City % White Population Violent Crime Murder and nonnegligent manslaughter Rape VC Rate Murder Rate Rape Rate
Boise City, ID 82.6 229,265 635 1 173 276.97 0.44 75.46
Scottsdale, AZ 81 254,961 422 7 122 165.52 2.75 47.85
Lincoln, NE 80.6 288,589 1045 6 283 362.11 2.08 98.06
Madison, WI 74.5 258,455 1043 5 116 403.55 1.93 44.88
Scranton, PA 73.7 77,827 811 2 43 1042.05 2.57 55.25
Lexington-Fayette, KT 71.8 325579 982 22 243 301.62 6.76 74.64
Portland, OR 71 657260 3418 25 438 520.04 3.8 66.64
Average 69.4 336,031 1,804 17 222 529.33 4.66 65.99
Colorado Springs, CO 68.7 471,124 2617 32 483 555.48 6.79 102.52
Fort Wayne, IN 68.3 267634 1024 40 131 382.61 14.95 48.95
Henderson, NV 67 309586 583 15 65 188.32 4.85 21
Seattle, WA 65.3 742,759 5,052 32 292 680.17 4.31 39.31
Wichita, KS 63.1 391,726 4,622 38 378 1179.91 9.7 96.5
Reno, NV 60.9 252341 1636 6 174 648.33 2.38 68.95
Chandler, AZ 59.1 255,986 606 4 146 236.73 1.56 57.03
Lubbock, TX 52.8 257,372 2,565 13 239 996.61 5.05 92.86

Summary: Black v. White

Caveat: general violent crime and rape can be underreported by a large percentage, murder cannot. The African-American “no-snitching” culture is going to result in an underrepresentation of crimes that don’t have obvious physical evidence, such as a corpse. So, the violent crime minus murder is likely underreported while murder is our most accurate metric for comparison.

Anyway, I compiled the worst three (highest rates) white and black cities for comparison.

Screen Shot 2019-12-01 at 11.51.51 AM.png

One can see from this picture that the three most violent white cities are hardly comparable to their black counterparts.

15 Blackest v. 15 Whitest
Race Violent Crime Rate Murder Rate Rape Rate
Black 1278.269 31.372 78.110
White 529.334 4.661 65.994
BW Multiple 141.5% 573.1% 18.4%

Comparing all 15 whitest and blackest cities, it appears that blacks commit rape only 18 percent more than whites. I believe this is explained by the caveat in the first paragraph of this section. Additionally, blacks commit all violent crimes about 142 percent more than whites.

The kicker, though, is murder, the crime which always has hard evidence and is solved much more often than other violent crimes. The 15 blackest cities commit murder at a staggering 573 percent greater clip than white cities.

Although, all of this is to be expected. Blacks have been committing about the same, disproportionate rate of crime for several decades across the country. For some evidence of this, I compiled the last six years of homicide data in this post, showing that blacks commit murder about 531 percent more than whites, which is on a par with the rate shown in this article.

The great American cities of the twentieth century are currently warzones.


  1. A list of 110 blackest cities in the United States. I went down the list, looking to see if each city was available from the FBI. If the city did not provide their crime data to the FBI, I used the data from the next available city. My list is ordered by descending black percentage and the averages are bolded in the middle.
  2. In the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses which involve force or threat of force.
  3. The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program defines murder and nonnegligent manslaughter as the willful (nonnegligent) killing of one human being by another. The classification of this offense is based solely on police investigation as opposed to the determination of a court, medical examiner, coroner, jury, or other judicial body. The UCR Program does not include the following situations in this offense classification: deaths caused by negligence, suicide, or accident; justifiable homicides; and attempts to murder or assaults to murder, which are scored as aggravated assaults.
  4. Forcible rape, as defined in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program, is the carnal knowledge of a female forcibly and against her will. Attempts or assaults to commit rape by force or threat of force are also included; however, statutory rape (without force) and other sex offenses are excluded.
  5. A list of the whitest (non-Hispanic) cities in America. As with the black table, if their data was not received by the FBI, I replaced it with the top available data of these “white” cities. The second list includes cities such as El Paso, which is 82 percent “white” but only 13.4 percent non-Hispanic white (more on El Paso in my post about “White Supremacy”). I skipped these “white” cities and found the ones that are actually white.After the list was made, I began removing the smallest cities on the list for bigger ones in order to equate the average size of black and white cities. My list is ordered by descending black percentage and the averages are bolded in the middle.

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